Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 9.250652 10.345305 11.527393 12.900352 14.453140 16.157130 18.171809
2025-04-20 7.593239 9.043436 10.719419 12.805582 15.341180 18.333690 22.148718
2025-04-27 6.428073 8.096431 10.145097 12.859893 16.383993 20.832291 26.917363
2025-05-04 5.459554 7.236200 9.542375 12.780569 17.250544 23.262154 32.058133
2025-05-11 4.576441 6.352575 8.777618 12.368859 17.617014 25.107038 36.787211
2025-05-18 3.898019 5.646509 8.148270 12.042088 18.046594 27.113998 42.147111
2025-05-25 3.364350 5.069557 7.617898 11.773429 18.515103 29.258295 48.150827
2025-06-01 2.950864 4.613233 7.200909 11.610358 19.117727 31.714280 55.166684
2025-06-08 2.621319 4.241676 6.862393 11.517935 19.817380 34.450019 63.242558
2025-06-15 2.414030 4.039435 6.768480 11.819027 21.242277 38.698043 75.013536
2025-06-22 2.166545 3.736022 6.461378 11.695712 21.876246 41.610987 84.844182
2025-06-29 1.927372 3.416222 6.082601 11.381903 22.093981 43.758973 93.587316
2025-07-06 1.728311 3.148739 5.772525 11.170230 22.516463 46.479863 104.425630
2025-07-13 1.610677 3.017987 5.701309 11.421388 23.943136 51.612968 122.146157
2025-07-20 1.511670 2.910380 5.660571 11.730122 25.556442 57.505168 143.342027
2025-07-27 1.404794 2.773756 5.543799 11.859427 26.797149 62.811064 164.570026
2025-08-03 1.277097 2.579186 5.282570 11.629735 27.162026 66.087603 181.287141
2025-08-10 1.167440 2.409330 5.052316 11.436119 27.583357 69.609863 199.787902
2025-08-17 1.071980 2.258741 4.845201 11.265933 28.036450 73.327004 220.049308
2025-08-24 0.992481 2.133987 4.680319 11.173653 28.679430 77.719027 243.865990
2025-08-31 0.924589 2.027511 4.544140 11.132833 29.457584 82.684655 271.250303
2025-09-07 0.886143 1.984122 4.550454 11.460495 31.331281 91.346821 314.523230
2025-09-14 0.826287 1.883687 4.407146 11.369513 31.982948 96.412838 346.504984